Honduras Assessment 2026

3.5%

2026 GDP Growth

$3,405

GDP Per Capita

41.0%

Debt-to-GDP

Potential With Uneven Execution

Honduras will be facing 2026 with a familiar mix of promise and fragility. Geographic proximity to the United States and competitive labor costs continue to attract interest, while institutional weakness and security concerns complicate execution.

Areas of opportunity

Export oriented manufacturing remains the clearest opportunity. Assembly operations and light manufacturing benefit from labor availability and established trade frameworks. Nearshoring interest persists, particularly in special economic and industrial zones.

Agribusiness continues to play a central role, supporting exports and employment where logistics and infrastructure allow. Remittances remain critical to household income and domestic demand stability.

Ongoing challenges

Institutional capacity remains uneven. Regulatory clarity and enforcement vary by sector and geography, increasing uncertainty for investors unfamiliar with the local landscape.

Security conditions have improved in some areas but continue to affect logistics costs and operational planning. Fiscal constraints limit the government’s ability to invest consistently in infrastructure and public services.

Assessment

Honduras in 2026 offers selective opportunity rather than broad based momentum. Competitive labor costs and export orientation support investment in specific sectors, but long term potential depends on sustained improvements in governance and execution.

Sources and references:
World Bank Honduras economic updates
International Monetary Fund Article IV consultations
Inter American Development Bank country strategy documents
Central Bank of Honduras statistical releases